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Hockey Discussions => Midget Hockey => Topic started by: lcadad on May 02, 2017, 08:30:42 PM

Title: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: lcadad on May 02, 2017, 08:30:42 PM
I've spoken to a number of people about these changes.  From those conversations and some discussion here, I received a number of ideas as to how best to communicate these concerns to CAHA. 


Obviously one way to handle this is through the member clubs, but the reality is that the CAHA board already passed this right through to implementation. 

In searching for another avenue of expression, there's the email address provided with the announcement, however, direct communications doesn't provide any visibility or transparency.

If you are concerned or downright disagree with the plans for CAHA Tier 2, there's another option:  this online Petition.

The url for the Petition for sharing is:  https://www.ipetitions.com/petition/call-to-abandon-unnecessary-and-problematic


If there's enough interest, I'll make sure that the petition is forwarded to the CAHA board. 
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: dreal on May 04, 2017, 08:21:30 PM

If you feel strongly about changing the Tier II format, I was told to attend the CAHA board meeting.  If enough people show up to express their disagreement, the possibility exists that they will revisit the issue.  The petition is a great idea, but actual people, expressing their concerns is another.  Additionally, I was told that some AA coaches are working on an alternate format to present at the meeting.  Here is the information regarding the CAHA meeting.


[font=]The CAHA Meeting is June 17th 9:00 at[/font]
[font=]DoubleTree LAX-El Segundo[/font]
[font=]1985 E Grand Ave [/font]
[font=]El Segundo CA [/font]

Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: MO-ICETIME on May 04, 2017, 08:43:04 PM

If you feel strongly about changing the Tier II format, I was told to attend the CAHA board meeting.  If enough people show up to express their disagreement, the possibility exists that they will revisit the issue.  The petition is a great idea, but actual people, expressing their concerns is another.  Additionally, I was told that some AA coaches are working on an alternate format to present at the meeting.  Here is the information regarding the CAHA meeting.


[font=]The CAHA Meeting is June 17th 9:00 at[/font]
[font=]DoubleTree LAX-El Segundo[/font]
[font=]1985 E Grand Ave [/font]
[font=]El Segundo CA [/font]


Ohh noo.. you mean actually get involved??


Now that is a novel idea!!
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: skates on May 04, 2017, 09:25:55 PM

If you feel strongly about changing the Tier II format, I was told to attend the CAHA board meeting.  If enough people show up to express their disagreement, the possibility exists that they will revisit the issue.  The petition is a great idea, but actual people, expressing their concerns is another.  Additionally, I was told that some AA coaches are working on an alternate format to present at the meeting.  Here is the information regarding the CAHA meeting.


[font=]The CAHA Meeting is June 17th 9:00 at[/font]
[font=]DoubleTree LAX-El Segundo[/font]
[font=]1985 E Grand Ave [/font]
[font=]El Segundo CA [/font]


Too bad the meeting is after tryouts, should be before.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: MO-ICETIME on May 05, 2017, 08:29:33 AM

If you feel strongly about changing the Tier II format, I was told to attend the CAHA board meeting.  If enough people show up to express their disagreement, the possibility exists that they will revisit the issue.  The petition is a great idea, but actual people, expressing their concerns is another.  Additionally, I was told that some AA coaches are working on an alternate format to present at the meeting.  Here is the information regarding the CAHA meeting.


[font=]The CAHA Meeting is June 17th 9:00 at[/font]
[font=]DoubleTree LAX-El Segundo[/font]
[font=]1985 E Grand Ave [/font]
[font=]El Segundo CA [/font]


Too bad the meeting is after tryouts, should be before.


Do you really think this rule or anything they come up with will stop AA families from trying out for AA?
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: dreal on May 05, 2017, 01:50:55 PM
I don't believe it will impact the number of players/families involved in AA this season.  We all dedicate a considerable sum of money, time and energy into our kid's hockey lives. If you don't believe that this is a better format, express your opinion to CAHA... I didn't believe that last season's format was better than previous year's format, and  I'm not sure about the new format. 
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puckdaddy on May 06, 2017, 12:22:29 AM
There is a reason that the Ducks and Kings High School Leagues continue to grow and improve and AA and below dwindles.

Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puck Yeah on May 06, 2017, 06:52:06 AM
There is a reason that the Ducks and Kings High School Leagues continue to grow and improve and AA and below dwindles.


Which is great for a lot of kids and families but a detriment to those boys that would like to play after high school. 
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puckdaddy on May 07, 2017, 12:04:09 AM
There is a reason that the Ducks and Kings High School Leagues continue to grow and improve and AA and below dwindles.


Which is great for a lot of kids and families but a detriment to those boys that would like to play after high school.


While there are always some exceptions to the rule, most of those looking to play after High School are not playing in AA and below.  The High School leagues are not a replacement for AAA.  For AA and below it might be a different story.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Numuvs on May 07, 2017, 09:42:27 PM

There is a reason that the Ducks and Kings High School Leagues continue to grow and improve and AA and below dwindles.


Which is great for a lot of kids and families but a detriment to those boys that would like to play after high school.


While there are always some exceptions to the rule, most of those looking to play after High School are not playing in AA and below.  The High School leagues are not a replacement for AAA.  For AA and below it might be a different story.


There are different pathways... My son got 18 offers to play NCAA College Hockey and NEVER played one season of AAA at any level. He played only 1 season of Midget AA. After 16's, he opted to go to play in the WSHL, which had better player development than any of the AAA choices available and cost THOUSANDS of $ less. He did NO East Coast travel, practiced 4x Week (2 hour sessions), and we watched him play every weekend.
My 2001 will follow this same development pathway... except now HS seems to be a better option than 16AA because there is no unnecessary traveling, every game is on video and no unnecessary expenses.
The same Colleges come to the WSHL Showcases... my son met with Air Force Academy, St. Mary's, Quinnipiac, and quite a few DIII schools... if your kid is developing, the Scouts will find him!

What draws the NCAA Div I and DIII Colleges to the WSHL? The influx of import Euro and Slavic talent has made the WSHL as competitive as the NAHL and BCHL... even though, the WSHL is pay to play league, the cost is about the same as what it would cost to billet in the NAHL or BCHL.

Obviously, everyone will take their own pathway, but it's not impossible to skip AAA, play Juniors and NCAA college Hockey.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puck Yeah on May 08, 2017, 09:41:48 AM
There seems to be a fair amount of opportunity for the top players in the WSHL now.  I think that will only improve as some skilled kids stay home rather than head east.  Much like ASU.


There has even been one large exception named Adam Vay.  He earned a 2 year contract with the Minnesota Wild while playing goalie for the WSHL El Paso Rhinos.  I guess you would have to chalk that up to the old adage, "If you are good enough, they will find you".  Good for him!
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 08, 2017, 11:07:20 AM

There is a reason that the Ducks and Kings High School Leagues continue to grow and improve and AA and below dwindles.


Which is great for a lot of kids and families but a detriment to those boys that would like to play after high school.


While there are always some exceptions to the rule, most of those looking to play after High School are not playing in AA and below.  The High School leagues are not a replacement for AAA.  For AA and below it might be a different story.


There are different pathways... My son got 18 offers to play NCAA College Hockey and NEVER played one season of AAA at any level. He played only 1 season of Midget AA. After 16's, he opted to go to play in the WSHL, which had better player development than any of the AAA choices available and cost THOUSANDS of $ less. He did NO East Coast travel, practiced 4x Week (2 hour sessions), and we watched him play every weekend.
My 2001 will follow this same development pathway... except now HS seems to be a better option than 16AA because there is no unnecessary traveling, every game is on video and no unnecessary expenses.
The same Colleges come to the WSHL Showcases... my son met with Air Force Academy, St. Mary's, Quinnipiac, and quite a few DIII schools... if your kid is developing, the Scouts will find him!

What draws the NCAA Div I and DIII Colleges to the WSHL? The influx of import Euro and Slavic talent has made the WSHL as competitive as the NAHL and BCHL... even though, the WSHL is pay to play league, the cost is about the same as what it would cost to billet in the NAHL or BCHL.

Obviously, everyone will take their own pathway, but it's not impossible to skip AAA, play Juniors and NCAA college Hockey.


http://nahl.com/player-advancement/college/index.cfm?season=2015 (http://nahl.com/player-advancement/college/index.cfm?season=2015)
http://www.wshl.pointstreaksites.com/view/westernstateshockeyleague/commitments-13 (http://www.wshl.pointstreaksites.com/view/westernstateshockeyleague/commitments-13)



compare college commitments from the WSHL 2015/16 to the NAHL for the same year.  in the WSHL, maybe the good players are there , but the scholarships aren't.  The WSHL even padded their list with ACHA commitments.  Club hockey?  1 D-1 commitment and about 25 D-3's and the D-3's don't even offer scholarships.   I don't see how pay to play could cost the same as billeting in the NAHL , the cost of a kids sticks alone would probably be higher than the billet expenses in those leagues where the sticks are free. And the BCHL has no billet fees anyway.  Any money you save in AA gets spent in pay to play juniors and then on club or d-3 college tuition.   Seems like it would cost more. Seems to me if the kid is good, get him on a AAA team that will get him in front of the eyeballs that can get him into free to play juniors which will get him in front of the eyeballs that can get him a college scholarship.  It''s a lot harder to get but the cost of AAA plus free to play Juniors plus a college scholarship would most likely be less than the cost of AA plus pay to play juniors plus college tuition.  You are right there are many different pathways, but that doesn't make them equal. 
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: bandicoot on May 08, 2017, 12:22:13 PM
Our elite AAA leagues of 3 teams.  Travel 10 times do ok..come home.  I forgot SoCal is sending so may kids to the show.  The kids that really want it can do it..not the parents.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 08, 2017, 12:54:49 PM
Our elite AAA leagues of 3 teams.  Travel 10 times do ok..come home.  I forgot SoCal is sending so may kids to the show.  The kids that really want it can do it..not the parents.


2017 NHL draft
 
California players that will get drafted:
Yamamoto
Lodnia
Chemlevski
St. IVany
Khodorenko


Will probably get drafted:
McManus


Has a shot:
Guttman


Had a shot but missed year with injury:
McGrew















Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: lcadad on May 08, 2017, 03:40:40 PM


There are different pathways... My son got 18 offers to play NCAA College Hockey and NEVER played one season of AAA at any level. He played only 1 season of Midget AA. After 16's, he opted to go to play in the WSHL, which had better player development than any of the AAA choices available and cost THOUSANDS of $ less. He did NO East Coast travel, practiced 4x Week (2 hour sessions), and we watched him play every weekend.
My 2001 will follow this same development pathway... except now HS seems to be a better option than 16AA because there is no unnecessary traveling, every game is on video and no unnecessary expenses.
The same Colleges come to the WSHL Showcases... my son met with Air Force Academy, St. Mary's, Quinnipiac, and quite a few DIII schools... if your kid is developing, the Scouts will find him!

What draws the NCAA Div I and DIII Colleges to the WSHL? The influx of import Euro and Slavic talent has made the WSHL as competitive as the NAHL and BCHL... even though, the WSHL is pay to play league, the cost is about the same as what it would cost to billet in the NAHL or BCHL.

Obviously, everyone will take their own pathway, but it's not impossible to skip AAA, play Juniors and NCAA college Hockey.



Thanks for sharing information and your experience.  And for those that might not be aware, there are several WSHL teams in the local area, including Valencia, Long Beach and San Diego.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 08, 2017, 04:06:43 PM
The ncaa isn't heavily scouting the wshl.  Do they pay attention? Minimally. At best it can be a stepping stone to the NAHL, BCHL or maybe the USHL (but that is even a stretch) which could lead to the NCAA. You might find a Picasso in a thrift store but if you are looking for great paintings you go to an art gallery. 
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puck Yeah on May 08, 2017, 07:15:16 PM
If you are really keeping your kid in hockey for that scholarship, you would be better served to savee the cost of AAA and send them to a good college.


Playing AAA to get a college scholarship is the same logic as using lobster as bait to catch catfish.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 08, 2017, 08:24:52 PM
If you are really keeping your kid in hockey for that scholarship, you would be better served to savee the cost of AAA and send them to a good college.


Playing AAA to get a college scholarship is the same logic as using lobster as bait to catch catfish.


That's true if you aren't saving money for college and are paying for AAA hockey (or any travel hockey for that matter) then you probably need to re-evaluate your priorities.  In this town, however, many people can afford both travel hockey and college.  It's not an either/or proposition for everyone. 
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puck Yeah on May 09, 2017, 08:25:55 AM
I wasn't suggesting it was an either/or.  Only that the cost of AAA is equal to that of a college education.  If you put that money aside you have guarranteed money enough for an education.  If you spend it on AAA you gamble that you kid is good enough to get a scholarship and you don't have to pay again.


It is only a bird in hand observation.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: trans4761 on May 09, 2017, 09:09:10 AM
If you are really keeping your kid in hockey for that scholarship, you would be better served to savee the cost of AAA and send them to a good college.


Playing AAA to get a college scholarship is the same logic as using lobster as bait to catch catfish.


That's true if you aren't saving money for college and are paying for AAA hockey (or any travel hockey for that matter) then you probably need to re-evaluate your priorities.  In this town, however, many people can afford both travel hockey and college.  It's not an either/or proposition for everyone.
Come on B.O.  !!!!!


You've said some nutty stuff in the past, but this one takes JK pompous to a new level, congrats.

Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 09, 2017, 01:59:00 PM
Let them eat cake
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: trans4761 on May 09, 2017, 02:13:35 PM
Let them eat cake
LOL !!


But.....remember what happened to them.....not the kind of hair cuts your used to. :)
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 09, 2017, 03:42:08 PM
ha fyi when I said save for college I meant barber college
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: trans4761 on May 09, 2017, 04:55:12 PM
ha fyi when I said save for college I meant barber college
Smart man....learn a trade.  Better than going to UCLA for 4 years to work st Starbucks.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puck Yeah on May 09, 2017, 05:07:19 PM
ha fyi when I said save for college I meant barber college
Smart man....learn a trade.  Better than going to UCLA for 4 years to work st Starbucks.


You mean that transgender midget lesbian studies degree isn't going to land Johnny a 6 figure salary straight out of college??  How about if he minors in African basket weaving too?
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Numuvs on May 09, 2017, 10:43:10 PM


http://nahl.com/player-advancement/college/index.cfm?season=2015 (http://nahl.com/player-advancement/college/index.cfm?season=2015)
http://www.wshl.pointstreaksites.com/view/westernstateshockeyleague/commitments-13 (http://www.wshl.pointstreaksites.com/view/westernstateshockeyleague/commitments-13)

compare college commitments from the WSHL 2015/16 to the NAHL for the same year.  in the WSHL, maybe the good players are there , but the scholarships aren't.  The WSHL even padded their list with ACHA commitments.  Club hockey?  1 D-1 commitment and about 25 D-3's and the D-3's don't even offer scholarships.   I don't see how pay to play could cost the same as billeting in the NAHL , the cost of a kids sticks alone would probably be higher than the billet expenses in those leagues where the sticks are free. And the BCHL has no billet fees anyway.  Any money you save in AA gets spent in pay to play juniors and then on club or d-3 college tuition.   Seems like it would cost more. Seems to me if the kid is good, get him on a AAA team that will get him in front of the eyeballs that can get him into free to play juniors which will get him in front of the eyeballs that can get him a college scholarship.  It''s a lot harder to get but the cost of AAA plus free to play Juniors plus a college scholarship would most likely be less than the cost of AA plus pay to play juniors plus college tuition.  You are right there are many different pathways, but that doesn't make them equal.



See, there's a huge misnomer... your comparison is fallacious! Check the NAHL or BCHL Rosters for California Players, there is 31 players in BOTH LEAGUES.

Reality.. NCAA DI rules allow 18 Scholarships for 25 players, so a full ride is not realistic. Also, an athletic scholarship is NOT guaranteed for four years. They are awarded for one academic year and MAY be renewed each year.

The cost of playing 16 AAA /18 AAA is over $14K with almost no guarantees of making any NAHL/BCHL teams... the majority of California players have a much better chance of developing in the WSHL for College Hockey than they will not making the NAHL or BCHL.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Numuvs on May 09, 2017, 11:16:16 PM
The ncaa isn't heavily scouting the wshl.  Do they pay attention? Minimally. At best it can be a stepping stone to the NAHL, BCHL or maybe the USHL (but that is even a stretch) which could lead to the NCAA. You might find a Picasso in a thrift store but if you are looking for great paintings you go to an art gallery.
Please do yourself a favor and count the number of rostered players from California in the NAHL and BCHL (31) combined. Do the math... how many 16U/18U AAA players are in California? The chances of a California Player making the NAHL and BCHL comes to roughly 3% or a 97% chance of not making it. Do you really think you're in a Art Gallery, Picasso?

btw... The WSHL Showcase Keynote Speaker was Frank Serratore, the Head Coach of U.S. Air Force Academy -  NCAA Div.I.


Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 10, 2017, 01:50:48 AM
The ncaa isn't heavily scouting the wshl.  Do they pay attention? Minimally. At best it can be a stepping stone to the NAHL, BCHL or maybe the USHL (but that is even a stretch) which could lead to the NCAA. You might find a Picasso in a thrift store but if you are looking for great paintings you go to an art gallery.
Please do yourself a favor and count the number of rostered players from California in the NAHL and BCHL (31) combined. Do the math... how many 16U/18U AAA players are in California? The chances of a California Player making the NAHL and BCHL comes to roughly 3% or a 97% chance of not making it. Do you really think you're in a Art Gallery, Picasso?

btw... The WSHL Showcase Keynote Speaker was
Frank Serratore, the Head Coach of U.S. Air Force Academy -  NCAA Div.I.




Frank Serratore would come read my 8 year old a bed time story if I paid him to.  What is your point? If a kid isn't good enough to get to the at least the NAHL or BCHL he most likely ain't getting near college hockey. Especially D1. The art gallery/thrift store comparison was in reference to the NAHL/BCHL compared to the WSHL, not AAA compared to AA.


California players rostered in tier2 or above juniors according to rubber magazine:


Major Junior (CHL) 14
USHL 14 (US TIER 1)


NAHL 21 (US TIER 2)
AJHL 4 (CANADA TIER 2)
BCHL 16 (CANADA TIER 2)
MANITOBA JHL 1 (TIER 2)
MARITIME JHL 1 (TIER 2)
ONTARIO JHL 2 (TIER 2)
SASKATCHEWAN JHL 7 (TIER 2)


That's 80 kids playing at levels above the wshl.  How many kids in those leagues will get looked at by college scouts (or pro for the chl) before they look at a kid in the WSHL? If the math is bad to make tier 2 or above from AAA then it is far worse to make it to the NCAA from the WSHL. 


There are about 115 16U AAA players in California, according to CAHA stats(in previous years there were more but the 15u's have been broken out into a different division).  Juniors are basically 4 birthyears worth of kids (really mostly 3 but I will give you the benefit of the doubt).  So 115 16u's times the last 4 years is a pool of 460 players . 80 out of 460 is 17.3%.  Massively higher odds than 3%. Still not a sure thing but not a pipe dream either. When you take into account that the Junior leagues have very few 16 yr olds the odds get better.  That would give you a pool of 345 kids.  80 out of 345 is 23.1%. That's almost a quarter of AAA 16u players. Let's assume the number is in the middle at 20%. That's 1 in 5 AAA kids that move through the AAA bottleneck to juniors and have a solid chance of playing NCAA (or choose Major Junior instead of the college route).  Also there are probably at least a dozen kids already playing college that are still young enough to play juniors.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Puck Yeah on May 10, 2017, 07:33:24 AM
Hence the old saying figures lie and liars figure.


That is not aimed at you B.O. but there are a lot more factors involved that pure percentages.  In reality stats for any given year mean nothing regarding current and future years.  Kinda like investing.


"past results is not a reliable indicator of future performance"
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 10, 2017, 09:00:30 AM
Hence the old saying figures lie and liars figure.


That is not aimed at you B.O. but there are a lot more factors involved that pure percentages.  In reality stats for any given year mean nothing regarding current and future years.  Kinda like investing.


"past results is not a reliable indicator of future performance"


that's very true the 2002 birthyear is proof of that but it doesn't change what leagues good players are more likely to get scouted in
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Hamacher Checking Camp on May 10, 2017, 10:43:39 AM
Some really good points and discussion.  Both sides of this are correct and it comes down to clarity and word choice.  The WSHL is a very good league that opens many doors to play college hockey.  The stats bear it out to mean DII, DIII, ACHA and Club college hockey.  Making reference to College hockey is extremely vague and I would say not a good word choice.  That is like saying Youth hockey and trying to understand if that is in-house, B, A, AA, or AAA.  There is a distinct difference.  The one WSHL player listed in 2015-16 as a DI commit to AFA did not make the roster this season so he clearly got in based on a myriad of other great attributes and good for him.  No matter how much you want it to be true, the WSHL has no/minimal foundation as a historical path to NCAA Div I hockey.  It can be a stepping stone to get to higher levels of Junior hockey and then on to NCAA Div I hockey like Erich Jaeger who played in Missoula, then two years in WFs in the NAHL, then at AFA this past season.  He is a rare exception (may be the only player in WSHL history but others would know more) and the historical stats bear that out.

There are clear and distinct paths to NCAA Div I hockey and #4BO is right in that regard.  I have all of the data from the last several years of where players came from and the paths that got them to NCAA DI hockey.  It is not some nebulous mystery.  We in hockey need more clarity and specificity.  That means eliminating vague words and unfounded claims.  Players and parents deserve and need it.

Maybe the better questions is how can we do a better job of exposing the talent we have to higher levels?  With 80 players in T2 Junior and above and another 40-75 (changes year to year) playing NCAA Div I, why do CA players only make up 2.5% of the USHL PH1 draft, 1.2% of the USHL PH2 draft, and 0.87% of the WHL draft in 2017?  From a percentage standpoint, there is a significant disconnect between actual participation rates and draft rates.  Hopefully the tide will swing in our favor during the upcoming NAHL draft next month and I hope all of the eligible players have done the right things to position themselves for the NAHL draft and the newly established NCDC (USPHL free-to-play level) draft.   
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: CahaMama on May 10, 2017, 11:00:47 AM
Great post! I have an 02 goalie so we are trying to learn as much as we can about this process to get to D1
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: #4BobbyOrr on May 10, 2017, 11:49:48 AM
Great post! I have an 02 goalie so we are trying to learn as much as we can about this process to get to D1


you should think about hiring a hockey adviser.  a good one will have all the info you need and many contacts to get your goalie in front of the right people.  Also will help you avoid wasting money on the wrong camps and avoiding the wrong leagues or teams.  There are a lot of shady people out there that will tell you anything if they think they can get in your wallet (including hockey advisers).  But there are also a lot of great people out there so do your research and ask a lot of questions before you write any checks.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: coachbombay on May 10, 2017, 01:26:51 PM
listen to BO, it sounds like it's not his first rodeo.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: CahaMama on May 10, 2017, 01:53:38 PM
Thanks CoachBB and BO4!
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Numuvs on May 10, 2017, 03:46:34 PM
Some really good points and discussion.  Both sides of this are correct and it comes down to clarity and word choice.  The WSHL is a very good league that opens many doors to play college hockey.  The stats bear it out to mean DII, DIII, ACHA and Club college hockey.  Making reference to College hockey is extremely vague and I would say not a good word choice.  That is like saying Youth hockey and trying to understand if that is in-house, B, A, AA, or AAA.  There is a distinct difference.  The one WSHL player listed in 2015-16 as a DI commit to AFA did not make the roster this season so he clearly got in based on a myriad of other great attributes and good for him.  No matter how much you want it to be true, the WSHL has no/minimal foundation as a historical path to NCAA Div I hockey.  It can be a stepping stone to get to higher levels of Junior hockey and then on to NCAA Div I hockey like Erich Jaeger who played in Missoula, then two years in WFs in the NAHL, then at AFA this past season.  He is a rare exception (may be the only player in WSHL history but others would know more) and the historical stats bear that out.

There are clear and distinct paths to NCAA Div I hockey and #4BO is right in that regard.  I have all of the data from the last several years of where players came from and the paths that got them to NCAA DI hockey.  It is not some nebulous mystery.  We in hockey need more clarity and specificity.  That means eliminating vague words and unfounded claims.  Players and parents deserve and need it.

Maybe the better questions is how can we do a better job of exposing the talent we have to higher levels?  With 80 players in T2 Junior and above and another 40-75 (changes year to year) playing NCAA Div I, why do CA players only make up 2.5% of the USHL PH1 draft, 1.2% of the USHL PH2 draft, and 0.87% of the WHL draft in 2017?  From a percentage standpoint, there is a significant disconnect between actual participation rates and draft rates.  Hopefully the tide will swing in our favor during the upcoming NAHL draft next month and I hope all of the eligible players have done the right things to position themselves for the NAHL draft and the newly established NCDC (USPHL free-to-play level) draft.


So, 2.5%, 1.2%, 0.87% is a clear NCAA pathway...  To me, it seems like 97.5%, 98.8%, and 99.13% California Players see no pathway! Here's a great article in the NY Times on what's really happening, Article  (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/23/sports/hockey/ncaa-college-teams.html?_r=0) or https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/23/sports/hockey/ncaa-college-teams.html?_r=0 (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/23/sports/hockey/ncaa-college-teams.html?_r=0)

"According to College Hockey Inc., a record 82 Europeans played in Division I last season. “The real beneficiary is Division III,” American International College Coach Eric Lang said. “There are about 40 to 50 players who spill over into D-III who are D-I players.”

On Jan. 13, the top three teams in the USCHO.com (http://uscho.com/) poll all lost, including then-No. 2 Harvard 4-0 to Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, which entered the game 3-19-1. Of the top 20 teams in the Jan. 16 poll, only six avoided a loss or tie in the following week, and No. 1 Boston University lost its two games to a Hockey East colleague, Merrimack, which had won only two league games at the time. Yet it is almost expected in college hockey, said Hastings of Minnesota State."
West Coast players are filling the "Pay-to-Play" NA3HL, NAPHL, USPHL and East Coast Prospect leagues which are used to recruit for the NCAA Division III, DII and East Coast ACHA Schools.
The WSHL pathway exist if you use it as a means... Jeremy Langlois (WSHL Phoenix Polar Bears) signed a one-year entry-level contract with the San Jose Sharks (NHL), split seasons between the AHL and ECHL. Prior to going pro, he played for Quinnipiac University NCAA DI from 2009 to 2013, where he helped the Bobcats reach their first ever NCAA Championship Game in 2013.


Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Numuvs on May 10, 2017, 03:50:31 PM
Great post! I have an 02 goalie so we are trying to learn as much as we can about this process to get to D1


you should think about hiring a hockey adviser.  a good one will have all the info you need and many contacts to get your goalie in front of the right people.  Also will help you avoid wasting money on the wrong camps and avoiding the wrong leagues or teams.  There are a lot of shady people out there that will tell you anything if they think they can get in your wallet (including hockey advisers).  But there are also a lot of great people out there so do your research and ask a lot of questions before you write any checks.

Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Hamacher Checking Camp on May 10, 2017, 04:36:37 PM
Like I said.  Clarity and specificity.  Langlois commited to Qpac out of the EJHL so he used the WSHL as a stepping stone to a higher level of Junior hockey.  Good for him.  Also, there was no AAA hockey in Phoenix for Langlois until 2006 when PF Changs began the program under Jim Johanson.  A lot has changed in 10/11 years in hockey and I expect the same for the next 10.  18AAA looks to be the next death spiral unless USAH decides to artificially prop it up by changing the Junior age rules.


And I had seen that article when it was released and agree with it fully.  We need more Pegula's to fund new NCAA Div I programs.  Until then, the clear and distinct paths to NCAA Div I are well established with a few outliers.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Hornet-hky on May 10, 2017, 07:54:26 PM
OK...so I don't have a horse in the youth game anymore, he is now playing D1 hockey and we went through all of this stuff.... It seems like history repeats itself for sure.  And after writing this.... I can totally understand if you skip it, but in reading this I feel like I've been there, done that..... and got lucky.   


I will leave out the parts about some great coaches and some crazy ones.... too off topic.


Here is a bit about our path:

early days - "Hey this is fun, my kid is decent"... not super star.  Played on A, B teams Squirt, locally.
PW - played A and AA..... travelled far for AA (looking back, can't believe I did that)
  -- (I do have to say this is where I met Hamacher hockey and really appreciated his breakdown of the path to college hockey back then... and thought this is something that cannot be an assumption and cannot be the main plan --
BTM - M16 played locally again and was fortunate to have very good teams form.
U18 / USHL kid was fortunate at the right times.
**note-AA was pretty strong at the time** 

I remember thinking that after u16 everything would be free and he would play juniors etc..... not the case.  And this is where many parents don't have solid perspective (I was one of them).  I remember when the phone was not ringing with opportunities near the end of u16, I was freaking out.   I had seen some of his colleagues get opportunities to play Juniors and get invited to camps and combines etc...... nada for my kid.

He was not a high profile kid.  He was just pretty good.  He made it through to district camp for 15, 16, 17 and was extremely fortunate to make Nat. Camp for u17.  I would say no politics when he did not make it, and when he did, I of course thought he had a good camp, but you can never be sure.

He ended up playing u18 (out of the area on a strong team), had a very good season and ended up in the USHL.   

This seems great, but I can say the main difference maker for my kid was his work ethic.  I did not know if it was me encouraging (pushing) him or his own until he left home.  But, I can also say he was training on and off the ice more than anyone in his age group, and worked hard all the time.  I tried to take advantage of every opportunity possible to help him develop as an individual.  However, we really did not have the budget to play top tier SoCal hockey so we invested in local training.  When approached me about increasing his training before u16, we supported it (locally) and he improved dramatically.

I have to say a couple of things overall.  I NEVER counted on the investment ending up in anything but his wellness as a kid, athlete and competitor.    We were confident that he had a good head on his shoulders and would land in a good place regardless of hockey. 

Advisors: I am not convinced that paying for an advisor = D1

Conclusions (because this is too long already)
Hard work can pay off - you get better, but does not guarantee success.
Hard work only in team practice most likely won't get you there if your goals are high.
What level did my kid play? A/AA hockey mostly.  One year AAA at u16 in SoCal.  One year u18 AAA outside state
He also very good mentors along the way which I think helped him as well.
The whole will "They will find you".... I am not convinced that "they" found my kid. 
We "found" them with hard work and learning to find the right fit at the right time.....

Worry about what you can control, opportunities for improvement as a player....it's not necessarily what team he plays on.

Our journey is not over by far but I vividly remember the stress of what many of you are going through. 

This is just my story as a crazy hockey parent, and I agree that there are many paths.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Hockey05 on May 11, 2017, 12:41:49 AM
Some great posts this thread. 


What percentage of Cal players that made it to college hockey left California prior to age 18?

Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Numuvs on May 11, 2017, 04:12:35 AM
Like I said.  Clarity and specificity.  Langlois commited to Qpac out of the EJHL so he used the WSHL as a stepping stone to a higher level of Junior hockey.  Good for him.  Also, there was no AAA hockey in Phoenix for Langlois until 2006 when PF Changs began the program under Jim Johanson.  A lot has changed in 10/11 years in hockey and I expect the same for the next 10.  18AAA looks to be the next death spiral unless USAH decides to artificially prop it up by changing the Junior age rules.

And I had seen that article when it was released and agree with it fully.  We need more Pegula's to fund new NCAA Div I programs.  Until then, the clear and distinct paths to NCAA Div I are well established with a few outliers.
Langlois used AA as a "stepping stone", WSHL as a stepping stone, College Hockey as a stepping stone, ECHL as a stepping stone, but he didn't use NAHL and BCHL as a "stepping stone". So, there is a pathway less traveled, but it exist... is "Outliers" the new buzz word?

Yes, the obvious NAHL and BCHL is the main pathway, but historically "California" players make up less than a 3% of those stepping on the pathway. So, the other 97% (An organic customer base) need another pathway, a "stepping stone", an "outlier" if they intend to play NCAA College Hockey.

In my last post, we agree "the article" establishes that NCAA DIII and ACHA are benefiting from the influx of too much DI talent. More talent then teams... and money $$$ being the primary reason for not expanding NCAA DI... NOT TALENT!

So, making an NCAA DIII team doesn't mean you suck at Hockey, it means there is more talent than DI spots available.

It takes $$$ to expand the NAHL Franchise. The NAHL created the NAPHL and NA3HL (pay-to-play model). They have an organic customer base, the NAHL pipeline and brand are already established, and now they can charge instead of expand!

Which proves the WSHL pay-to-play model works (30 Teams) and the NCAA DIII and ACHA schools are showing up to recruit.

Why? Imports, a few years ago, the WSHL created a pathway for Elite Foreign Born Talent (up to 12 Non-US born players and unlimited Canadians per team). The Level of play rose immediately. There is no doubt the Bombers, Flyers, and Avalanche are far superior in Talent than those prospect NAPHL and NA3HL teams.


There is a pathway to NCAA College Hockey from the West Coast for the 97% of Californians that get rejected by the NAHL... the cost is cheaper than the NAPHL and NA3HL teams, and the talent level is much higher.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Xfactor_56 on May 11, 2017, 08:55:46 AM
.. I can say the main difference maker for my kid was his work ethic. ..  I tried to take advantage of every opportunity possible to help him develop as an individual. 

..  I NEVER counted on the investment ending up in anything but his wellness as a kid, athlete and competitor.     

Hard work can pay off - you get better, but does not guarantee success.
Hard work only in team practice most likely won't get you there if your goals are high.
The whole will "They will find you".... I am not convinced that "they" found my kid. 
We "found" them with hard work and learning to find the right fit at the right time.....

Worry about what you can control, opportunities for improvement as a player....it's not necessarily what team he plays on.
 [/size]


Thanks for the post.  It is always helpful to read the stories of those that have been through it.  Some great lessons for parents just starting the youth hockey experience.
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: islandhockey on May 11, 2017, 05:58:08 PM
Sooooooo.....after reading all these great threads, what is the bottom line?  Is the investment of paying $30-40K a year for So Cal AAA hockey and missing dozens of days of school, pulling down your kid's GPA and affecting their SAT/ACT scores really worth it?  I get the impression that in the end, you can play either AA or AAA and if you are good, you will wind up in the same place, working your way up the juniors ladder in hopes of fulfilling the dream of DI, DIII and beyond. If you are GREAT, you might make it to the top faster...
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: 1hockeydad on May 11, 2017, 10:56:10 PM
Sooooooo.....after reading all these great threads, what is the bottom line?  Is the investment of paying $30-40K a year for So Cal AAA hockey and missing dozens of days of school, pulling down your kid's GPA and affecting their SAT/ACT scores really worth it?  I get the impression that in the end, you can play either AA or AAA and if you are good, you will wind up in the same place, working your way up the juniors ladder in hopes of fulfilling the dream of DI, DIII and beyond. If you are GREAT, you might make it to the top faster...


Really great questions.  There is a lot to consider for youth hockey options for kids in California.   As some have noted, what us the real end game?  We want to try to provide the best possible experience for our kids.   As for ourselves,  we see California hockey as a mixed bag.  We have seen our kid play exceptionally well with kids not of the area.  He has also been offered a roster spot on a team from the greater New England area, but has had an issue with a local team.


Billet or not.  Home or away?  What level?  I think that what  matters at the end if the day is incredibly personal.   So much to consider for any family.   Thank you all for input here!
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: Xfactor_56 on May 12, 2017, 10:17:30 AM
Sooooooo.....after reading all these great threads, what is the bottom line?  Is the investment of paying $30-40K a year for So Cal AAA hockey and missing dozens of days of school, pulling down your kid's GPA and affecting their SAT/ACT scores really worth it?  I get the impression that in the end, you can play either AA or AAA and if you are good, you will wind up in the same place, working your way up the juniors ladder in hopes of fulfilling the dream of DI, DIII and beyond...


..what  matters at the end if the day is incredibly personal.   So much to consider for any family...

I completely agree that there is no right or wrong answer to all of these very personal family decisions.  I can tell you that plenty of players have had success coming out of AA, so I wouldn't be concerned as much about what level my kid plays as much as whether he has a good Coach that is teaching good life lessons and he/she is having fun.  As far as what is a good investment, I think you answered your own question.  If you are paying $30k+ per year for 6+ years so that your kid might get accepted to a DI or DIII school, why not save that money and spend it on the school instead.  The investment, in my opinion, is hopefully teaching the value of hard work, learning how to be a responsible part of a team and having fun playing a great game.  Of course, they can probably learn those same lessons for the fraction of the price, but I am an idiot who loves watching my kid play... ;)
Title: Re: CAHA Tier 2 Peewee/Bantam/U16 changes for 2017-2018
Post by: glilv on May 12, 2017, 10:38:35 AM
Great post! I have an 02 goalie so we are trying to learn as much as we can about this process to get to D1


you should think about hiring a hockey adviser.  a good one will have all the info you need and many contacts to get your goalie in front of the right people.  Also will help you avoid wasting money on the wrong camps and avoiding the wrong leagues or teams.  There are a lot of shady people out there that will tell you anything if they think they can get in your wallet (including hockey advisers).  But there are also a lot of great people out there so do your research and ask a lot of questions before you write any checks.

How do you go about finding one and not getting screwed in the process