Memorial Day seems less and less a predictor of anything. Kids play on teams they aren't going to play for in the fall, or don't play tournaments at all like the Bears, and in some cases are even playing for multiple teams. In many cases the teams are part of a spring clinic series.
Whatever the results end up being haven't predicted a whole lot, and you can take this with a huge grain of salt, but what I saw the last few years is that a lot of the predominantly minor year teams have played at the Rinks, and major year teams have played in Carmen Starr. Carmen Starr, as one parent reminded me recently, has become a tour of southland rinks. I mean who doesn't want to play a morning game at TSC and an afternoon game at KHS?
The AAA division (which is actually AA really) has exactly 2 Socal teams this year. Oddly the AA/A division is also a wild mix of teams, with 2 GSE teams entered this season. At the end of the day, some kids play some hockey, there will be some tremendous mismatches, you have in house players playing with AAA's here and there, and it seems that people care less and less about it, which seems different than in the way it was viewed in years past, but perhaps that's also because by Bantam families aren't as easily mislead as to the relative importance of these things as they may have been when their kids were younger.