While not disagreeing with your sentiment or prediction, I wonder what precisely is a "more certain" environment? Whose predictions on the path of the virus does one listen to?
"Certainty" may be fools gold. Yea, maybe some other state opens up sooner and more completely than CA or LA County but what happens to that AAA or AA season when that same state is hit badly by this virus and has to reverse public policy direction? Is your kid's health worth the risk? For what? The odds are long that they will play in the NHL or D1? Counter that with the fact that hockey is a breeding ground for viruses and disease. My daughter wrote me recently about a Mumps outbreak among the MN Wild.
What seems certain to me is that youth hockey, like most youth sports nowadays, is about money. USAH, CAHA, SCAHA, clubs, rinks, and coaches all want and need to re-establish their cash flows or income. Will they put player and parent safety before their economic self-interest? I am rather pleasantly surprised that the Ducks announced that their tier tryouts have been postponed until mid-August. That is about as late as possible without putting the whole season at risk.
If a parent is confident about their kid's play at certain level, waiting seems prudent. If our son's lack of ability or the virus costs him a season, so be it. Hopefully, there is life after hockey.